illram
[H]ard|Gawd
- Joined
- Sep 19, 2011
- Messages
- 1,473
^^Tim Cook quote fail
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I have no interest in "wearing" a computer or having my head covered with goggles.
Say what you want, PC sales have declined year over year for the last decade.
You know you have to realize that one day, sitting and typing on a keyboard, using a mouse and viewing a stationary monitor will be viewed as archaic as a typewriter is today.
The point I was making is that all these technologies already exist. They will come together eventually in the form of this wearable PC. If you don't like it and resist change you are just as techno-phobic as elderly people that still prefer to use a typewriter and white-out.
This is what I think the future holds. And I will tell you why.
I was a kid in the 70s and I remember the the smart people of the day predicting by the year 2000 and beyond we would have space stations that average people lived and worked in. A career in a "spacing industry" would be a valid career path. Trips to space and to the moon would be common as catching a plane. A colony on the moon was a given since American have already been there several times.
None of it happen. But what did happen was a revolution in processing information; computers and the underlying technologies. The scope of this was completely missed by the prognosticators of the 70s. We are no closer to the "flying car" future they predicted back then. But we have surpassed the forecasts in unexpected ways.
With hindsight being 20/20 I see no reason for this trend to fall on it's face now.
It's always funny that they have to make devices more like a PC in order to "replace" the PC, to the extent that the only ones who ever seem to succeed end up essentially just creating another type of PC. How exactly does that mean the PC is dying?
Is that any different than an office full of people all trying to talk into their phones at the same time?
The split is 98% computer clueless people to 2% computer savvy people. The split may feel much much different when you change that to "people you know" instead of "people".
Long term "it will be like this" predictions are seldom accurate and they tend to cover a large gamut of possibilities: you seem to be misremembering the 70's.
You know you have to realize that one day, sitting and typing on a keyboard, using a mouse and viewing a stationary monitor will be viewed as archaic as a typewriter is today.
The point I was making is that all these technologies already exist. They will come together eventually in the form of this wearable PC. If you don't like it and resist change you are just as techno-phobic as elderly people that still prefer to use a typewriter and white-out.
And HOW an anyone from 1900 even imagine like today? The diode vacuum tube was'n t invented until 1904. The triode tube wasn't invented until 1906. That was the first amplifier device and electronic switch. They didn't understand the ramifications of electronics then; all such speculation 100 years out was useless.
I'm talking about technologies that are here and now and what they might evolve into. Why does that seem so weird?
Why is everyone so void of vision and imagination?
SIt took a long time for the computer to completely replace the typewriter. We only got rid of the last typewriter at the office a couple years ago (it was used on the rare occasion someone needed to manually address an envelope.
Say what you want, PC sales have declined year over year for the last decade.
You know you have to realize that one day, sitting and typing on a keyboard, using a mouse and viewing a stationary monitor will be viewed as archaic as a typewriter is today.
The point I was making is that all these technologies already exist. They will come together eventually in the form of this wearable PC. If you don't like it and resist change you are just as techno-phobic as elderly people that still prefer to use a typewriter and white-out.
This is what I think the future holds. And I will tell you why.
I was a kid in the 70s and I remember the the smart people of the day predicting by the year 2000 and beyond we would have space stations that average people lived and worked in. A career in a "spacing industry" would be a valid career path. Trips to space and to the moon would be common as catching a plane. A colony on the moon was a given since American have already been there several times.
None of it happen. But what did happen was a revolution in processing information; computers and the underlying technologies. The scope of this was completely missed by the prognosticators of the 70s. We are no closer to the "flying car" future they predicted back then. But we have surpassed the forecasts in unexpected ways.
With hindsight being 20/20 I see no reason for this trend to fall on it's face now.
Apple really pooped on the functionality of the ipad pro. At that size and that price point, it needs more functionality, like that of a full os. I have an ipad and I used it for certain things, but when I needed to do work, I used my laptop. Now with my surface pro 3, my Thinkpad and ipad have been collecting dust. If I were inclined to throw money at apple, I'd rather spend the money on a new laptop. They need to revamp osx and introduce touch/tablet functionality into it. With Win10 and their surface line, MS has done a great job. Yeah, their app store still blows, but it matters much less when you can install the full software.
They want to pursue that at my employer however streaming video is something we use and have had problems due to bandwidth constraints at some of the remote sites. Therefore at the moment it is a stillborn idea. Eventually when the bandwidth issue isn't a problem they may be able to migrate 80-90% of the desktops over to thin clients.Additionally, in larger enterprises, virtualization has been a big thing.
lol me either. I'm not so sure that tech is going to be a smash hit.I have no interest in "wearing" a computer or having my head covered with goggles.
Asshat Credentials: Extended
Now holodeck ala startship Enterprise OTOH... THAT would be a smash hit.
I don't "mis-remember" anything. Question is did you get your summation of the '70s from a TV show?
What I said was exactly true. Everyone was sure of a future that included space flight as common as catching a jet plane. None of it happened; but they missed the information revolution completely.
And based on that my ideas of how "personal computers" will evolve is NOT wild speculation. It is the developing trend.
This thread was sparked because yet again, some "insider" forecast the end of the desktop PC. I'm making the point that one day soon it will seem like an archaic just as a typewriter does today. That day is not 100 years from now; but probably less than a decade away.
And HOW an anyone from 1900 even imagine like today? The diode vacuum tube was'n t invented until 1904. The triode tube wasn't invented until 1906. That was the first amplifier device and electronic switch. They didn't understand the ramifications of electronics then; all such speculation 100 years out was useless.
I'm talking about technologies that are here and now and what they might evolve into. Why does that seem so weird?
Why is everyone so void of vision and imagination?
Isn't that cute, Apple's CEO has declared the end of the PC.
I think if youre looking at a PC, why would you buy a PC anymore? No really, why would you buy one?, asks Tim Cook, Apples chief executive, who has just flown into Britain for the launch of the iPad Pro.