Xbox360 Giveaway

Okay, is every10minutes.com the slowest website on Earth, or is it just me?
 
It is annoyingly slow at times, but I can't complain. I just dumped 21 caps into a late night entry and I won !
 
CardiaK said:
While mathematically, you SHOULD win at some point in those 350 chances, it's NOT a lock. You might win on your first try, or you might not win at all.
Click to expand...

I think most of your post is right except for this. Mathematically, your odds of winning by entering 1 entry (out of 350 possible entries) in 350 different contests or whatever is 350/122500 (350 possible entries x 350 contests)... or 1/350. Not only is it not a lock - your odds are pretty slim. You ARE giving yourself more chances to win. Just not better odds.
 
BigJavy said:
I think most of your post is right except for this. Mathematically, your odds of winning by entering 1 entry (out of 350 possible entries) in 350 different contests or whatever is 350/122500 (350 possible entries x 350 contests)... or 1/350. Not only is it not a lock - your odds are pretty slim. You ARE giving yourself more chances to win. Just not better odds.
Click to expand...

Yeah, well this is another chicken/egg argument for statistics people out there. The Law of Averages, if you subsribe to it, states that as the number of trials rises, probabilities will more and more govern results with greater and greater accuracy; basically saying that when the # of trials = Infinity, then the probability tied to that trial is absolutely what the results will be.

So if you go by the definition of odds; if your odds of winning are 1 in 100; the law of averages dictates that you SHOULD win an average of one time in 100 trials, and this probability becomes more and more accurate the more trials you conduct. So it's much more likely to have 1000 "wins" out of 100,000 trials than it is to have 1 "win" out of 100.

Because of that, I disagree that 1 in 350 odds, conducted 350 times, is equal to one trial at 350 in 122,500. 350 independent trials at odds of 1 in 350 isn't equal to anything else. It is what it is, it's apples, and multiplying it or adding it just makes it oranges.
 
I HATE mountain dew, but I've choked down 14 twenty ounces and havent won a single thing. I wish I had a way to get more codes so that I could possibly have a better shot. I really want one of these beasts and there is absolutely no way I can buy one. IDK what else to do.
 
I dumped something on the order of 80 on a drawing with only 400 entries and still didn't win...improving your odds may help...but doubtful.
 
undeadsac said:
I HATE mountain dew, but I've choked down 14 twenty ounces and havent won a single thing. I wish I had a way to get more codes so that I could possibly have a better shot. I really want one of these beasts and there is absolutely no way I can buy one. IDK what else to do.
Click to expand...


#1, drink pepsi? or diet something?

#2, find caps at a local event?

I would have done the 2nd, but I got into this thing way to late, and I dont think its worth it anymore. Sweepstakes entries are at 1400+ and growing.
 
I'm thinking I'm gonna setup a container in the lunch room at work at tell people to drop their pop caps in it. There are probably a lot of people who don't bother playing the game and wouldn't mind giving me the cap.
 
well, after Jonao's post, i think im just gonna start saving caps now instead of entering when I get them. Is there any way to find out how many people entered into each drawing? I think that while doing them 1 at a time might FEEL better, you have a better shot at dumping them all at once (even though it sucks to lose so many). It seems so random: someone puts in their 20 caps and wins, someone else 80(i hope you found em) and loses, some guy on the pennyarcade forum found a cap, typed it in, and won his first try.
 
is there any way to check how many people entered past contests? got 20 caps and dont know if i should use em now or wait for more
 
I would use em now, your odds will only get slimmer as more people find out about the giveaway. Yesterday, most of the drawings were pushing well over 1500 caps.
 
Well now this is just lame. I go through a 2liter a day of diet mtn dew and my brother in law only drinks cans.


None of these have caps ......bah!
 
Meh. The guys who are going through the garbage for caps are going to win these all anyway - no way to compete with someone who's got 150+ to throw around. Then again, mine's paid off, so the real prize for me would be getting it 3 days early, and while that's worth a lot to me, it's still not worth that much.
 
Anyone have any advise on where to get codes? I only drink about 1 soda a day so my odds are pretty slim. My son in telling me he wants Santa to bring him a 360 for Xmas and I know I will never be able to afford one if I cna find one this Xmas.

Thanks and feel free to PM
 
With 500+ entries/ drawing the PV of this sweepstakes is negative, since the cost of soda is $1.10. Assuming that the XBoX that you get is worth ~$400, the PV-calculation is as follows:
(chance to win) * (worth of prize) - (cost to enter):

.002 * $400 = $.8
PV = $0.8-$1.1 = -$0.3

So, unless you value drinking the soda at least $0.3 it is better to save the money and buy the Xbox.
 
I have a few caps lying around but I don't want to sign up for Yahoo!.
I am already signed up with MSN and AIM just so I can instant message.
 
Metok,

If you trulydo not want them I would love to take them off of your hands...I PMed you...Thanks
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top