How much would a 24" AMOLED display cost?


Sounds about right. Though the first panel bigger than 15" on the horizon is due in about 2012 (maybe, SED was due in 2008).

Sometime in 2010 a 15" might come to North America. I expect it will be about $2000.
 
The problems are that AMOLED manufacturing facility hasn't seen itself pumping in enough volume to push for higher efficiency and fabs will need to convert themselves to adopt to them.

I think it might be 5 years before we will have cheap AMOLED for all.
 
Well since Sony sold a limited edition 11" model for $2000 you could expect a 24" to go for a very large premium over that. I wouldn't be surprised if 10,000 was pretty close to the mark.

There is a huge "waiting demand" for this tech, so it could be a 2 years after introduction before the first premium pricing wears off. As a demonstration of that, even at 2000 for the 11" Sony model, all of them were sold (Sony only produced a limited amount of them).

Moreover even the Sony was reported to have brightness and color accuracy issues after only a year of normal use, so there are still plenty of issues with the technology.

You'd be far better served by a "good" LED based (with local dimming) LCD and enjoying it for 5-7 years while you wait for the OLED to mature.
 
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