The year is 2042 -- Your best prediction for Intel's best chip

Bash said:
what's intel?
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It used to be the world's largest chip maker until it was split into <pretentious madison ave generated name> and CPU Holdings Inc in the Apple (1976-2029, RIP) brought anti-trust settlement.

-or-

In the snack chips wars of 2033, Frito-Lay and Tims got into a massive game of domination and started buying up every chip company around, including Intel. Silicon flavored chips were not great sellers.

But yeah, that's another possibility. Intel might not exist in the form it does today.
 
Tsumi said:
I think this more appropriately belongs in GenMay...
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I'd agree but GenMay is closed to anyone who isn't sub'd so as much as I would like [H] to take my money for a new yearly sub , they can't right now.
 
aphexcoil said:
That's a great video, but they've been saying that Moore's Law will break down within a decade for probably over 15 years. Every time it's in jeopardy, some new piece of technology goes from research to production and we're given another 5-7 years of headroom.

When you have tens of billions of dollars of potential revenue at stake, you find out how to cheat physics. It's almost as if Intel has found a way to show that economics is stronger than physics.
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Except the problem is that they can't align the atoms any smaller in about 10 years time if they follow the path they are currently going. Heat and leakage will be impossible to overcome with silicon means.

Once you can't tell where the electron is going to be in the chip , you've run into the end of Moore's law.

Quantum Computers are at least another 80+ years away. There are so many questions about Quantum Mechanics that are far from understood that we simply don't have anywhere near the understanding of the Quantum nature of the Universe to create a computer capable of reliable Quantum processing. Quantum Computers are the ultimate end all , be all of computing. One Quantum computer with 8 Qubits would as powerful as a current generation silicon computer the size of the observable Universe... so don't expect it within your lifetime.

DNA computers , optical computers using light beams and many other technologies are more likely than Quantum computing at the moment. There is only one known and perfectly functioning Quantum Computer .. your currently reading with it.

Of course if we get lucky enough to live in the time of another Einstein then we may get the advantage we need to understanding the Quantum nature of the Universe.
 
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I'd imagine graphics will hit the limits of human capacity to perceive, beyond which it will be pretty pointless to develop them further. The focus will turn to neural "thinking" processors, CPU's that can understand human language, learn from experiences, and solve problems the way humans do. Each new generation of processor will then bring incremental improvements along those lines.

But here's the mind-blowing part: Any CPU you own will learn from YOU and build it's experiences based on interacting with you. It will constantly upload those experiences to a cloud-based database that contains everything about you, and will pass those experiences to the every other device you own. Your computing device(s) will essentially become an external representation of your brain. The end result being you'll be surrounded by devices (jewelery, appliances, gadgets, etc..) that all base their operational parameters around your likes, routines, and lifestyle.
 
All I know is that in the year 2042 another person will make the prediction that Moore's Law is doomed and can no longer continue and on my dying bed I'll choke out a laugh through an oxygen mask and say to the sexy nurse giving me a towel bath, "Hahuh, I heard that one before!"
 
They'll be putting CPUs in people's brains.
Then, someone starts writing viruses for them.
 
westrock2000 said:
I'd be willing to bet that platter drives will be end of life by then.
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I would be willing to bet silicon flash NAND based SSDs will have been EOLd by then as well (actually long before then). The big question is what storage technologies will replace both.
 
2042? the world ends this year.........



We wont be humans any more... By that time we will know how to integrate brains with computers and be able to create a virtual reality where we live forever as thoughts not beings!
 
Liger88 said:
All I know is that in the year 2042 another person will make the prediction that Moore's Law is doomed and can no longer continue and on my dying bed I'll choke out a laugh through an oxygen mask and say to the sexy nurse giving me a towel bath, "Hahuh, I heard that one before!"
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in 2042 only the religious will choose to die. I'll be screwing Britney Spears (the early hot version) in my holodeck.
 
drescherjm said:
I would be willing to bet silicon flash NAND based SSDs will have been EOLd by then as well (actually long before then). The big question is what storage technologies will replace both.
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Magnetic nano RAM will make hard drives obsolete altogether.
 
All I know is that we'll be complaining about the PS9 getting delayed and holding back PC gaming because developers need their game to run on the obsolete PS8.
 
What do you tech-savy guys think about a complete remake of home computers(x86/64)? I.e. start from scratch with the knowledge and technology we have today, no thoughts toward backwards compatibility, revolution instead of evolution. Would the 8bits-in-a-byte idea change for home computers? Would we see huge gains in both efficiency and performance? Or would it be just a slightly more efficient and streamlined system than what we have today?
 
Would we see huge gains in both efficiency and performance?
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I would say no. Although ARM may have something.

Would the 8bits-in-a-byte idea change for home computers?
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I do not see changing the # of bits in a byte changes anything for the better.
 
Raap said:
Would we see huge gains in both efficiency and performance?
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YesNo. Those two aren't mutually exclusive, even in the short term. The second generation Atom core on 22nm coming next year will leapfrog even ARM, mostly due to the lead in process technology. (However, it won't challenge ARM in most segments... ARM has advantages in customability and lower price which are hard to overcome.)

Last year, a research paper pointed out that the total instruction execution capability per second in 2007 on general purpose computers was "in the same ballpark area as the maximum number of nerve impulses executed by one human brain per second." Both have much different purposes of course, and each is mostly specialized in the methods they use to solve problems.

That's why I suggested a radical shift away from the current computing methods rooted in 70-ish year old computing theory origins. "Quantum computing" is an example of that kind of shift, but it's not suitable for general purpose computing.
 
very regulated Cloud computing thanks to cyber boogy man or whatever crap you will come up with next America
 
pxc said:
Last year, a research paper pointed out that the total instruction execution capability per second in 2007 on general purpose computers was "in the same ballpark area as the maximum number of nerve impulses executed by one human brain per second." Both have much different purposes of course, and each is mostly specialized in the methods they use to solve problems.
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There are a lot of differences that go beyond specialization. For one, compared to a computer chip, the human brain is nigh-inifinitely parallel.

Really good reading on this subject: On Intelligence by Jeff Hawkins (created Palm)
 
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Russ said:
There are a lot of differences that go beyond specialization. For one, compared to a computer chip, the human brain is nigh-inifinitely parallel.
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Well, yeah, but that's a separate point. The methods computers in the far future will use to process general tasks will also likely be different from the brain or current computers. I mentioned the non-general computing quantum computer as an example.
 
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