The CIA Says It Can Predict Social Unrest as Early as 3 to 5 Days Out

Discussion in 'HardForum Tech News' started by HardOCP News, Oct 6, 2016.

  1. HardOCP News

    HardOCP News [H] News

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    I knew the CIA was good at spying but predicting social unrest up to five days ahead of time? I'm not buying in to the whole "Minority Report" thing, I'll need to see this in action to believe it.

    The agency, Hallman said, has significantly improved its “anticipatory intelligence,” using a mesh of sophisticated algorithms and analytics against complex systems to better predict the flow of everything from illicit cash to extremists around the globe. Deep learning and other forms of machine learning can help analysts understand how seemingly disparate data sets might be linked or lend themselves to predicting future events with national security ramifications.
     
  2. KarsusTG

    KarsusTG 2[H]4U

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    We cant even accurately predict weather 5 days out...
     
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  3. Powerage

    Powerage Gawd

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    Yeah, well I think we should all hope that human society is a less chaotic system than the fucking weather.
     
  4. ob1

    ob1 2[H]4U

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    Well if you are the agency that creates social unrest in many nations, you figure they should be able to see shit coming. I mean - come on man, isn't that part of their job description, creating social unrest?
     
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  5. Armenius

    Armenius I Drive Myself to the [H]ospital

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    With the PC police and identity ideologues out in force, it's not hard for anyone to predict social unrest these days.
     
  6. fadedlogic

    fadedlogic Limp Gawd

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    Just monitor George Soros and his foundation's activities; unrest sure to follow.
     
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  7. amddragonpc

    amddragonpc [H]ard|Gawd

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    I bet the CIA is just dying for it to start. Why even boast they have this ability.
     
  8. Azphira

    Azphira [H]ard|Gawd

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    *Looks at the news* Hahahahahahaha
     
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  9. modi123

    modi123 [H]ardness Supreme

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    Seems reasonable - especially more so with mining all the social media. Common sense aside I would have a morbid curiosity to see it all in action and then the results.
     
  10. /usr/sbin

    /usr/sbin Successfully Trolled by Megalith

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    Amateurs. I can predict social unrest 30 days out. November 9th, as a result of November 8th.
     
  11. Twisted Kidney

    Twisted Kidney 2[H]4U

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    Well that sucks all of the fun out of flash mobs.
     
  12. DocFaustus

    DocFaustus 2[H]4U

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    Headline: Police shot and killed another unarmed man today.

    CIA's 5 day weather prediction: storm's a brewen
     
  13. Spidey329

    Spidey329 [H]ardForum Junkie

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    Well that makes sense, considering they incite a lot of the social unrest in other nations.
     
  14. Wizard220

    Wizard220 Limp Gawd

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    Yea I bet they can predict it 3 to 5 days out, I could too if I also started the riots to begin with.
     
  15. evilsofa

    evilsofa [H]ardForum Junkie

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    I can predict civil unrest 3 to 5 days in advance. It's easy! Let's see, police are shooting unarmed black men at an average of about once every 10 days this year, and it's Thursday, so it will probably happen late Saturday night.
     
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  16. CreatedTheMultiverse

    CreatedTheMultiverse Limp Gawd

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    Yeah, let's only care about the unarmed black males that are shot by cops, as to not be racist or anything. Meanwhile a lot of 'unarmed' people that cops are forced to deal with are still very dangerous people in real life. However let's not look into that reality either. Or the fact that black males are literally the worst people in US society by like every fucking statistic (including resisting arrest). Yay!

    Oh yeah, "a police officer is 18.5 times more likely to be killed by an armed black male than a cop killing an unarmed black person". Fuck the facts though, crying in a delusion is way more fun!

    "MacDonald also pointed out in her Hillsdale speech that blacks "commit 75 percent of all shootings, 70 percent of all robberies, and 66 percent of all violent crime" in New York City, even though they consist of 23 percent of the city's population." - Source
     
    Last edited: Oct 6, 2016
  17. westrock2000

    westrock2000 [H]ardForum Junkie

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    That's like me saying I can predict what I'm going to have for dinner in 5 days.

    You see the logical similarity there?
     
  18. westrock2000

    westrock2000 [H]ardForum Junkie

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    Guess you haven't see articles like this


    5 'White People' Killed By Police Same Day As Keith Scott You Didn't Hear About – The Real Strategy

    I remember 6-7 years ago trying to look up how many people were killed by cops each year. It's a statistic that isn't kept. You'll hear how many cops are killed each year no problem, but nothing about civilians. It's been an "issue" for a while.
     
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  19. evilsofa

    evilsofa [H]ardForum Junkie

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    The Washington Post began doing the best it could to track police shootings since nobody else seemed to even be trying.

    2016 database
    2015 database

    I made a poorly sourced estimate in my earlier post when I said "once every 10 days" but I now realize I can use multiple filters in the 2016 database and get a result of 16 unarmed black people killed so far this year by police. There have been 279 days so far in 2016, so that is one unarmed black person killed every 17 days. So I was off; I might have missed the ballpark but at least I didn't miss the entire neighborhood.

    (Note: I did not edit the quote, but the quoter automatically deleted the "5 White Guys" line above westrock2000's link)
     
  20. {NG}Fidel

    {NG}Fidel [H]ardness Supreme

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    Really should not trust a source that says either leftists or something similar regarding conservatives in the first sentence, let alone anywhere in the article. Its a pretty obvious sign that should tell any adult with a working brain that the writer in question is more than willing to twist facts for his slant. Be it left or right.
     
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  21. ob1

    ob1 2[H]4U

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    While I agree with NG above, you still have to start somewhere. It seems like no one/organization is interested in keeping tabs on these items from a national perspective. The only sources for this type of information right now is either news orgs, which are biased in way or another, or start doing it on your own, which would probably consume an incredibly large amount of resources.

    And I would say the estimate is still low from the TWP. It seems like they are only recording/reporting the higher profile cases. We need an organization like the FBI or something to force local law enforcement to report these things in a standard format.
     
  22. Jagger100

    Jagger100 [H]ardness Supreme

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    By looking at hotel reservations by BLMs members?
     
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  23. Wizard220

    Wizard220 Limp Gawd

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    ^^^^THIS
     
  24. Krazy925

    Krazy925 2[H]4U

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    They can predict before a cop shoots a black person by 3-5 days? That's fuckin' impressive.
     
  25. naib

    naib [H]ard|Gawd

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    "predict"
    What they mean is they can instigate civil unrest in 3-5days
     
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  26. CreatedTheMultiverse

    CreatedTheMultiverse Limp Gawd

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    Care to actually refute it then? Either prove why it's wrong or just remember that I don't care about your perceived 'feelings' about reality.

    38 'unarmed' blacks were killed in 2015 according to TWP.
    ('unarmed' != not a danger to police as 3 officers were killed with their own gun in 2015)

    41
    Officers were shot or purposely killed in 2015.
    (With over 40% of cop killers being black males at only 6.x% of the US population = disproportionate)

    Black male pop. = > 21,500,000

    2015 officer pop. = < 636,000

    Now I'm no statistician but it sure the hell looks like the statement that "a police officer is 18.5 times more likely to be killed by an armed black male than a cop killing an unarmed black person" is within the ballpark just based on what's here. It just doesn't fit the whole black males are always the victims, while at the very same time being the biggest group of violent criminals in society, 'false narrative'.

    Keep that stupid shit to yourself. Intelligent adults don't talk like you are right now. You let the use of one word dissuade you from looking at everything else said there, so please, tell me more about what intelligent adults do. /s
     
    Last edited: Oct 8, 2016
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  27. Retronym

    Retronym Something big is coming.

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    Get back to me when they can predict which puppet regimes will collapse next.

    The answer is easy.
     
  28. termite

    termite [H]ardness Supreme

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    It is actually pretty easy to predict with social media data mining and analytics.

    Shit I know of a few banks that do the same thing and will shift cash money around, and close or prep branches ahead of riots or "protests".
     
  29. Terpfen

    Terpfen [H]ardness Supreme

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    Translation: they’re reading BLM organizers’ emails.
     
  30. potency

    potency Gawd

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    I can predict social unrest up to 5 years ahead of time - problem is, I'm only right once every few decades.
     
  31. J Macker

    J Macker [H]ardForum Junkie

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    Shit, I can predict social unrest 31 days out.

    Mark my words:. There will be a lot of social unrest exactly 31 days from today (Nov. 9)
    ;)
     
  32. Exavior

    Exavior [H]ardForum Junkie

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  33. {NG}Fidel

    {NG}Fidel [H]ardness Supreme

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    Lol that stupid shit is being aware of apparent bias. If you wanna go sucking the bias down like a Thai lady boy that's on you. But don't ask me to join in the stupidity. The stats for these police killings are messed up because police can play with or hide the numbers in many different ways. If you look at what's actually happening then it's obvious that police are killing too many unarmed civilians and children and blacks for it to be normal. And i guess Maybe expecting more of local law enforcement is something you can't do. Maybe you think this is the best it will ever be. And that's exactly why we aren't electing you.
     
  34. {NG}Fidel

    {NG}Fidel [H]ardness Supreme

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    Except blm has protested for white lives before. But figures someone who writes them off wouldn't know.
     
  35. evilsofa

    evilsofa [H]ardForum Junkie

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    Social media unrest, yes, but the alt-right is all shitpost, no walk.
     
  36. Stryker7314

    Stryker7314 Limp Gawd

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    There already IS social unrest every 3 to 5 days, no shit they can predict it, anyone can.
     
  37. CreatedTheMultiverse

    CreatedTheMultiverse Limp Gawd

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    Except of course the obvious bias that's easily seen in you by others. It just 'must be' everyone else that's wrong and the problem just because they know more than you do about the topic that you cry about the most. Facts > feelings. Good thing I don't care about your feelings. The reality is that you just can't handle the truth. Your fault.
    You are that very stupidity to which you speak about, you're just too silly to even know it. It's your entire group, so you're clearly already in it, so get a clue. That said, stop projecting, we get it, you love sucking males off then accusing others of doing it. It's perfectly fine with me if you're a homosexual. That said your petty little insults still have nothing to do with what I was even talking about. Your response was puerile.
    Got actual proof of this? Or are you just talking out of your regressive leftist ass like most morons do? Come on, give me a couple extreme examples, then expect me to apply it to policing across the entire country. Meanwhile back in reality, which is where I live, welcome, black criminality would be even higher in national statistics, but a lot of crimes committed by blacks on everyone else don't always get solved. So cry more about your 'feelings', morons tend to do exactly that everyday, anyway. They use petty character attacks in place of actual facts, so like you just did right here.
    If you look at what's actually (actually) happening then it's obvious that black people in general are killing too many of everyone for it to be normal and civilized. Nothing like the worst people in our society constantly crying about everyone else in it that act far better than they themselves do. Hi pot, meet kettle.

    Funny though, as the actual reality is that 99% of police encounters go perfectly normal, for normal people. However if you look at what's actually happening it's that black people in general are the worst group in US society by almost every single measure. They commit violent crimes at rates 'disproportionately' higher than everyone else of every single other group, then cry about everyone else being the problem...lol. If the police all quit tomorrow, crime would go up explicitly because of black people. Yet if black people left the USA, all crime would instantly go down by around 25-55% across the board, for just 13.x% of the population being gone. So go on and keep talking about your 'feelings' while not actually knowing jack shit about what you're even talking about.
    You should expect more from the worst acting people in US society instead of crying about the good guys that actually fight crime your entire pathetic life. And that's exactly why no one with a clue gives a fuck about what silly people like you are always crying about here. BLM is an unfunny joke, so just like you!
    HA, you're one delusional primitive. BLM is dogshit, end of story, period!

    Like these two white kids lives mattered?
    Or these two Asians lives mattering?
    Or how about these white people?
    Or this white life?
    This one?
    This one?


    Honestly, seriously, just STFU! You have about 13-14% of a valid clue at this point. Your 'feelings' are irrational + delusional. All I see in 2016 are covert racists crying about 'others' being supposedly racists. All while defending the very worst people (in almost every single category) in US society. I wonder why that is! Hmmm, ponders it.

     
    Last edited: Oct 9, 2016
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  38. Exavior

    Exavior [H]ardForum Junkie

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    I saw a 700lb fat guy eat an apple once, that means all fat people only eat heathy food right?
     
  39. YeuEmMaiMai

    YeuEmMaiMai [H]ardForum Junkie

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    why don't the protest the drug use, drive by shootings, children out of wedlock, lack of ability to stay in school, etc?
     
  40. {NG}Fidel

    {NG}Fidel [H]ardness Supreme

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    You think they don't?
    As for drug use, why do they have to bring it up? America has various opinions on that.