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Again someone that jumps to the wrong conclusions
Where have I said Nintendo is a failure? Next gen I can honestly see them doing a Sega, there are alot of parallels between the two......this gen started very well for them and the Wii will see first place but with the recently reported 74% drop in profits it's starting to look shaky....if (remember this word before you engage fingers before brain again, I haven't said it will) the 3DS bombs they are in gonna be in trouble. That's another argument tho, part of me believes the DS name will carry it thru.....the other part thinks the price is a joke......guess we'll see by the end of the year, I know one thing for certain, the next Wii will sell nowhere near the amount as its predecessor. That's a certainty for reasons I've already stated.
Good assumptions at the end tho....no good games? Not played Uncharted then? If that's a starter I'm really looking forward to seeing what else it can do.
And how many of those 84mill are used regularly? A very low percentage I'd say if I took the average of all those I know with the machine. Gaming forums are also full of ppl slating the machine with the total lack of quality titles, this will have a knock on effect next gen. I certainly won't be buying the next machine if it's just a HD Wii and realistically that's all it can be but we already have that now with the 360 and PS3. Even Mario64 Galaxy HD 3D wouldn't save that.
When I stated no good games I was comparing the catalog of original content found on the DS to original content on the PSP. I doubt you'd state all of the ports are bad games and I wouldn't state the ports from the PS3 are bad games. I'm talking about original content though. I know most people would instantly think port of a current gen system > older system but I'm not sure that economically it will be that way. People recently played those games. I'd be more likely to play a game I hadn't in a long time. True though, Nintendo has already used up many of its big titles from previous generations and so now that may be a moot point. There is definately no reason to rebuy Mario 64 for example if you already rebought it for the DS.
Your comment that sales have dropped significantly. It was bound to happen at some point. Nintendo was already the lowest cost system and hasn't dropped the price much. Therefore it was already at market for years for people who didn't want to spend as much and wanted a newer system. These people have already bought it. The other 2 systems have the advantage of being able to drop prices significantly which has allowed them to reach more of an audiance. If price would have been equal the entire time I believe xbox would have killed both systems due to its huge lead in having a great online system in place. I doubt many would debate live > playstation network or wii's very tiny online ability.
You said that not many people play the Wii regularly and that will hurt its sales next generation. That could have been said for the gamecube also though and it didn't hurt sales. I think the next generation for home consoles will come down to price. If Nintendo can put out a system that is 1/2 the cost of the other 2 when it first comes out again there is no doubt that it will sell very well. They may finally decide to jump on the high def market so games can be released on all 3 systems at once and have to raise costs. If that is the case they need to ramp up the power of the system tremendously.
For handhelds though I can't see Sony competing with the 3ds.
