AMD Polaris 10 Has 390/390X Performance

1700mhz roughly


Exactly, now we KNOW Fiji is more GPU limited than bandwidth limited, yes it is, there has been number of sites that showed this already when overclocking its core it gives more % performance than bandwidth.

That means games will push shaders more and even more so with Polaris.

So how can we expect it to replace the FuryX backet?
 
Game performance isn't just about compute either... It s a 230mm die, against a 330mm die... Amd has always needed larger dies to compete with nvidia, what justifies the tables turning?

Always? Nah son, remember the 5870 and 480?

334mm² vs 529mm²

Granted it was 6 years ago, but it could happen again. You never know :panda:
 
the 480 was 30% faster wasn't it?

What made the 4xxx line great was the performance you got for the price...... And no crazy power requirements.
 
Fury ~ Fury X is around 15-25% faster than a 390. To be "close" to a Fury X it probably needs to be 10% slower at the most.
I think Polaris will be able to easily close a 15% performance gap based on clocks alone.
 
Fury ~ Fury X is around 15-25% faster than a 390. To be "close" to a Fury X it probably needs to be 10% slower at the most.
I think Polaris will be able to easily close a 15% performance gap based on clocks alone.

yeah Close sounds good, I think that is definitely possible.
 
yeah Close sounds good, I think that is definitely possible.
Nvidia increased their boost from ~1100 to 1700 MHz from Maxwell to Pascal. Even if we use 1200 MHz (a more realistic number) to 1700 MHz is still a massive improvement.
Polaris could boost 1400+ MHz stock.
 
Fury ~ Fury X is around 15-25% faster than a 390. To be "close" to a Fury X it probably needs to be 10% slower at the most.
I think Polaris will be able to easily close a 15% performance gap based on clocks alone.

1500~ mhz to be to 10% less the Fiji XT

Nvidia increased their boost from ~1100 to 1700 MHz from Maxwell to Pascal. Even if we use 1200 MHz (a more realistic number) to 1700 MHz is still a massive improvement.
Polaris could boost 1400+ MHz stock.
that's a terrible way to compare man, we know nvidia was very conservative with clocks on maxwell... we have to wait and see how much headroom (in %) is available on gp104, they skimped on power efficiency; they chose a higher clocked, smaller, less efficient die over a larger, more efficient, lower clocked die.

It's a 220mm die, if it hits 180w that'll be 60% higher thermal density than 300w /600mm
 
1500~ mhz to be to 10% less the Fiji XT
At this point I would believe anything up to ~1550 MHz sheet boost is possible.
If AMD announces 1550 MHz boost at their upcoming press conference it will not surprise me at all.
 
Nvidia increased their boost from ~1100 to 1700 MHz from Maxwell to Pascal. Even if we use 1200 MHz (a more realistic number) to 1700 MHz is still a massive improvement.
Polaris could boost 1400+ MHz stock.

That is hard to predict because clock speeds are heavily inset with design. AMD would have to change their design quite a bit to accommodate the similar type of clock speed increases to their architecture. And this would change the design of many portions of the GPU. Since clock speeds aren't equal across of the entire GPU.
 
That is hard to predict because clock speeds are heavily inset with design. AMD would have to change their design quite a bit to accommodate the same type of clock speed increases to their architecture.
GTX 1080 is 180W and let's say 25% faster than the Titan X.
If Polaris is 120~150W TDP then where is all that performance going? 390X performance finfet part is sub-100W.
 
That is hard to predict because clock speeds are heavily inset with design. AMD would have to change their design quite a bit to accommodate the similar type of clock speed increases to their architecture. And this would change the design of many portions of the GPU. Since clock speeds aren't equal across of the entire GPU.
In other words taintedsquirrel, nvidia and amd had their 28nm dies manufactured on the same process, why were they competing with 400mm gpus with 540mm gpus ? 220mm vs 340mm etc etc
 
GTX 1080 is 180W and let's say 25% faster than the Titan X.
If Polaris is 120~150W TDP then where is all that performance going? 390X performance finfet part is sub-100W.


Look at Leldra's post

Thermal density has a lot to do with it too.

This is why if you go with higher transistor density, there are things you have to scale down.
 
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TSMC's 16FF+ (FinFET Plus) technology can provide above 65 percent higher speed, around 2 times the density, or 70 percent less power than its 28HPM technology.

You can't get all 3. AMD keeps talking about power efficiency and the die is tiny. Do the math. All indications are that it isn't blisteringly fast.
 
I think you guys are making more and more sense of polaris today. Really good discussion.

I really do believe that having the same amount of shader power as r9 390 and making all the improvements they said they have made and with most like clock speed bumps. I really expect it to be faster than 390 and it is not so far fetched for it to reach 980ti.

Otherwise we are looking at a product that only has performance increase of 390x? after having most part of gpu upgraded and most likely faster clock speeds. It has to be faster than 390x if we take pascal as an example. otherwise its just another refresh which I really believe it isn't this time around.

It has to be faster than a 390x or its a fail to me.
 
GTX 1080 is 180W and let's say 25% faster than the Titan X.
If Polaris is 120~150W TDP then where is all that performance going? 390X performance finfet part is sub-100W.

Faster than TX at what clock? NV docu calculates at BASE CLOCK for some reason. At 1200mhz boost it.s 7.37tflop. 1080 @ 1733 is only 20% faster
 
I really do believe that having the same amount of shader power as r9 390 and making all the improvements they said they have made and with most like clock speed bumps. I really expect it to be faster than 390 and it is not so far fetched for it to reach 980ti.
It's not completely far-fetched-- Pascal certainly clocked higher than anyone anticipated. But all indications so far tend towards that not happening.
 
I think you guys are making more and more sense of polaris today. Really good discussion.

I really do believe that having the same amount of shader power as r9 390 and making all the improvements they said they have made and with most like clock speed bumps. I really expect it to be faster than 390 and it is not so far fetched for it to reach 980ti.

Otherwise we are looking at a product that only has performance increase of 390x? after having most part of gpu upgraded and most likely faster clock speeds. It has to be faster than 390x if we take pascal as an example. otherwise its just another refresh which I really believe it isn't this time around.

It has to be faster than a 390x or its a fail to me.

Man all this faster than X talk is useless since clocks vary so much, a 980ti has same compute throughput as 390x. slightly less actually because its alculated on base clock

If Polaris is over 6.2tflops it can say its faster than TX, it's not worth much because TX can clock comfortably at 1450, and Ti at 1500...

If polaris can come with 64 rops, ~160 TMUs, rasterization on par with with maxwell and 2560 SPs @ 1300mhz and 250$ it's a winner

if not ... meh

I also suspect Pascal is clocked closer to it's limit than maxwell was, i can't wait for reviews to come out to see how it overclocks
 
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Man all this faster than X talk is useless since clocks vary so much, a 980ti has same compute throughput as 390x. slightly less actually because its alculated on base clock

If Polaris is over 6.2tflops it can say its faster than TX, it's not worth much because TX can clock comfortably at 1450, and Ti at 1500...

If polaris can come with 64 rops, ~160 TMUs, rasterization on par with with maxwell and 2560 SPs @ 1300mhz and 250$ it's a winner

if not ... meh

True when I saw the Pascal clocks I was actually pretty shocked that they were able to clock them so high and even higher on binned gpu's for founders edition that clock up to 2.1. I think amd if they can pull close to 1300-1400 with polaris they might something at play here. You are right, it doesn't matter much until we actually see what they pulled off. I don't expect them to match nvidia but i expect them to get with in a few hundred mhz as they previously had it.

LOL watch it be the same clock as 390x, I am gonna fire AMD forever lol.
 
Well from what Kyle stated, even nV wasn't expecting that much, but of course with that much more clock speed what are the implications in power usage, that is something we don't know yet.
 
On these forums two weeks ago, if you said the GTX 1080 would run in excess of 2 GHz you would have been laughed at.

LOL I was the same way. When I saw him mention 2.1 I was like WTF, collecting my jaw off the floor. LOL. Given that the standard one is 1730 or some shit, But damn if they can pull that off. I don't see why amd cant put it at 1300-1400 with little head room for overclocking, obviously not as much as nvidia but I think at those speeds you are looking at around 980ti performance for sure along with the enhancements they have made on the gpu and shader end of things.
 
True when I saw the Pascal clocks I was actually pretty shocked that they were able to clock them so high and even higher on binned gpu's for founders edition that clock up to 2.1. I think amd if they can pull close to 1300-1400 with polaris they might something at play here. You are right, it doesn't matter much until we actually see what they pulled off. I don't expect them to match nvidia but i expect them to get with in a few hundred mhz as they previously had it.

LOL watch it be the same clock as 390x, I am gonna fire AMD forever lol.


Well if its the same clock speed as the 390x, it will say one or two things, AMD didn't have the time to make adjustments to their architecture or they went with a strategy that they were comfortable with, that doesn't mean future gens will hold to that though.
 
Well if its the same clock speed as the 390x, it will say one or two things, AMD didn't have the time to make adjustments to their architecture or they went with a strategy that they were comfortable with, that doesn't mean future gens will hold to that though.
True but at this point I sort of expect a clock speed bump of some sort. To shrink the chip in half and keep the clock the same and not squeeze anything more is pretty lame. I mean we had R9 series hitting closer to 1150 core easily but it wasn't much more stable after that on air. I do expect a few hundred mhz atleast. Damn am I asking for too much here, lol.
 
If AMD went from 2.5x to 2x for Perf/w then that tells me they upped the clocked speed from previous projection. What that clock speed will be is anyone's guess. Could Polaris also be a 2ghz screamer as well? Can't help but believe Polaris Achilles heel will be memory bandwidth.
 
hmm 2 ghz, not possible lol, I mean they would have to start GCN from scratch to get to that.

But going from 2.5 to 2.0 it might be if they upped the clocks, but that would be a very large increase in power usage. Also 2.5 was from Hawaii/Granada, CFO/CEO stated 2.0 from current midrange, another words Tonga, which is already higher perf/watt than Hawaii/Granada

And if bandwidth is going to hold back Polaris, then they would just drop clocks on the GPU and put more into Perf/watt,
 
If polaris10 is as fast as a 980ti, AMD has been seriously messing up their messaging. They keep talking about "bringing VR to the mainstream", and emphasizing their power-savings-- not their performance.

I don't buy it. P10 will be 390x-class.
Are they? VR is well suited for multi-adapter. Getting 2 chips consuming <150W onto a board capable of handling max 300W for $400-500 would definitely bring VR to the mainstream. $1k and you could have a VR headset with a dual Polaris 10. That gives them a $200 entry level VR card and an easy option to double performance without waiting for Vega. One other consideration, cards may need 100W headroom to power a thunderbolt interface for a VR headset. The headset shouldn't require that much, but that's the spec. I'd have to check on how power passthrough was handled,, but the cards may be responsible for powering their displays in the future to reduce cabling.

At this point I would believe anything up to ~1550 MHz sheet boost is possible.
If AMD announces 1550 MHz boost at their upcoming press conference it will not surprise me at all.
That's only accounting for clockspeeds. If actual utilization increases as suggested by those patents/papers, say 30% based on benchmarks in the paper, they'd only need ~1200MHz to reach Fiji levels. This would be ACTUAL performance, not necessarily theoretical performance.

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You can't get all 3. AMD keeps talking about power efficiency and the die is tiny. Do the math. All indications are that it isn't blisteringly fast.
From just the process no, but that doesn't mean the CHIP can't double clocks, cut the die in half, and reduce power.
 
Are they? VR is well suited for multi-adapter. Getting 2 chips consuming <150W onto a board capable of handling max 300W for $400-500 would definitely bring VR to the mainstream. $1k and you could have a VR headset with a dual Polaris 10. That gives them a $200 entry level VR card and an easy option to double performance without waiting for Vega. One other consideration, cards may need 100W headroom to power a thunderbolt interface for a VR headset. The headset shouldn't require that much, but that's the spec. I'd have to check on how power passthrough was handled,, but the cards may be responsible for powering their displays in the future to reduce cabling.

Even at half the size of current chips the cost of the new chips will end up around the same because wafer costs have close to doubled. So how do you expect them to keep margins by cutting price down by half? Pricing just doesn't accommodate for the actually cost of the silicon. AMD has been making a concerted effort to keep margins of their products at respectable levels and this is why I think $200 seems a bit too low for the large size Polaris, I would think depending on performance it will end up at 250ish.


That's only accounting for clockspeeds. If actual utilization increases as suggested by those patents/papers, say 30% based on benchmarks in the paper, they'd only need ~1200MHz to reach Fiji levels. This would be ACTUAL performance, not necessarily theoretical performance.

So you are saying the 30/70 split from AMD from architecture / node changes respectively and 2.5 perf/watt or now 2.0 perf/watt are all misleading and not best case for Polaris anymore, since you are estimating from a patent paper that may or may not entitle what they did with Polaris's front end?


From just the process no, but that doesn't mean the CHIP can't double clocks, cut the die in half, and reduce power.

And what would the ramifications of chip design be to current GCN architecture to get those kinds of changes?
 
Totally agree: Polaris 10 will perform in the 390x range, maybe Fury. Polaris 11 likely in the 280x/960 range and Polaris 11 "pro" around a 370/950.

No idea where people are coming up with the notion it will compete with nV's top cards. No way that's happening, and AMD has said the same effectively.
 
I say the top Polaris card will be faster then the 1070 but not the 1080. Price $399 or lower. Also (remember wild ass guessing here) AMD will have 390/970 performance cards in the $200 range. Multiple skews top to bottom. Nvidia may have allowed the 1070 to be too reduced in performance from the 1080, the number of shaders and memory bandwidth. It also hinges on clock speed if AMD can also upped the clocked speeds. AMD has made some major changes to GCN which has been working out well, at least from how AMD is talking about it.

I think this round may end up being much different then from last round. Hopefully some rather big surprises will be coming out soon.
 
I say the top Polaris card will be faster then the 1070 but not the 1080. Price $399 or lower. Also (remember wild ass guessing here) AMD will have 390/970 performance cards in the $200 range. Multiple skews top to bottom. Nvidia may have allowed the 1070 to be too reduced in performance from the 1080, the number of shaders and memory bandwidth. It also hinges on clock speed if AMD can also upped the clocked speeds. AMD has made some major changes to GCN which has been working out well, at least from how AMD is talking about it.
If AMD can at least manage to match the 980 Ti / Titan X I would have no problem sidegrading. I think your prices are high though, $400 for a ~230mm chip, AMD will be rich.
 
If it's a mid-range card and they're looking to bump the mid-range market into VR as they say, they're definitely shooting for $280-350. Anything above $350 and you're in the enthusiast market which they're not looking to do with Polaris.

I just sold my venerable 295x2 so am hoping for 980 ti performance (but not holding my breath). In any case, I'm invested in Freesync so it's likely AMD this round unless the new cards are stinkers.
 
You can't get all 3. AMD keeps talking about power efficiency and the die is tiny. Do the math. All indications are that it isn't blisteringly fast.

Indeed that is why the architectural changes are a part of the equation rather then transistor count or raw teraflops and those changes should get it going but not surpass anything at the same time.
 
If AMD can at least manage to match the 980 Ti / Titan X I would have no problem sidegrading. I think your prices are high though, $400 for a ~230mm chip, AMD will be rich.

This is very unrealistic and the comments there after seems a little bit to obvious.

AMD hasn't had any big success at selling high end cards due to either performance or power draw (sometimes both). And whatever people on here think FinFet is not going to change these dynamics for AMD.
 
Even at half the size of current chips the cost of the new chips will end up around the same because wafer costs have close to doubled. So how do you expect them to keep margins by cutting price down by half? Pricing just doesn't accommodate for the actually cost of the silicon. AMD has been making a concerted effort to keep margins of their products at respectable levels and this is why I think $200 seems a bit too low for the large size Polaris, I would think depending on performance it will end up at 250ish.
They should be less than half the size. The $200 part is likely what the consoles are getting with a cut down Polaris 10, relatively slow memory, and low TDP to benefit power circuitry and the cooler costs.

So you are saying the 30/70 split from AMD from architecture / node changes respectively and 2.5 perf/watt or now 2.0 perf/watt are all misleading and not best case for Polaris anymore, since you are estimating from a patent paper that may or may not entitle what they did with Polaris's front end?
May not cover the actual changes, but all the features the paper lays out as being possible through their technique line up with the GCN improvements AMD included on a slide. They are all enabled by the same capability. One of the authors becoming an AMD Corporate Fellow less than a year later probably isn't a coincidence either. Granted he was an old ATI guy, but still.

The problem with the perf/watt numbers is that you don't know what the perf or wattage are for the numbers. It's also likely maximum performance destroys the numbers in the process. It'd be like comparing power consumption for Nvidia with/without boost clocks. Perf/watt, Perf/mm2, etc don't necessarily have to occur at the same time either. In fact they're likely opposite ends of the spectrum. Perf/watt is the point on the curve where perf/watt increases linearly. Perf/mm2 the point the chip melts. Perf/$ is probably the same as perf/mm2.

And what would the ramifications of chip design be to current GCN architecture to get those kinds of changes?
Well they'd need compute bound workloads to really shine and probably the ability to gate off ALUs to reduce power draw to what is required.
 
Has it ever been confirmed what Polaris is an evolution of in context of either Hawaii or Tonga?
This is a fundamental factor to any discussion regarding assumed performance,perf/w,OC,likely performance market,etc.

Cheers
 
Are you talking about the variable simd-width and power gating paper? There's no indication they've implemented that, and it would be unlikely on such a small chip. Nothing in those papers suggests higher clocking of the overall chip
 
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