Right now, demand for AMD processors is pretty stalled on its own.
Huh? From my understanding, Llano is doing exceptionally well.
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Right now, demand for AMD processors is pretty stalled on its own.
All I know is that AMD has shed a ton of fans and this time it may be greater then the time(s) before. Waiting for the Phenom 1, me and my friends were waiting, but all the delays forced us to go with Intel (and glad we did) with the Core 2 series...Now, I couldn't wait to upgrade and went with the i7 2600K because AMD has been sitting on their hands for 6 years.
Friends and family want to build gaming machines, and I want to recommend waiting for BD, but that makes no sense now. I usually say pick up an i3 2100 if your on a budget, or get the 2600k if your not. Even without the ability to OC the i3 is potent and inexpensive. AMD has nothing...These people don't need 6 threads when 4 will do fine, especially with the higher IPC on the SB parts. An i3 2100 and a GTX460 and your good for a while...With no news or performance figures, it makes no sense waiting.
Hell, I'm starting to step away from the Radeon products due to this BS with BD...Get your Crap together AMD!!!
There is a textbook example of it taught to anyone who studies business in college.
It is called the Osborne Effect.
It is named after Adam Osborne who founded the Osborne Computer Corp in 1981. Their first computer, Osborne 1, was a success. He announced 2 new products they were working on as successors to the Osborne 1, sales immediately stalled on currently shipping Osborne 1's. Due to fierce competition in that market and drastic drop in sales as people anticipated the product, Osborne Computers went out of business soon after.
If the company is large enough and has enough capital, they can survive the Osborne effect. Apple and Intel are two companies that fit this description, AMD is not. Apple sort of has their own mini self inflicted version of the Osborne effect because they have a habit of releasing particular products (e.g. iPhone) at near the same time every year. This year was an exception for them, but I'm sure they see drops in sales in the couple months leading to the new release of their product.
On 20 June 2005, The Register quoted Osborne's memoirs and interviewed Osborne repairman Charles Eicher to tell a tale of corporate decisions that led to the company's demise.[5] Apparently, while sales dipped after the initial announcement, they eventually began to pick up, and cash started flowing into the company. Then a vice president discovered some fully equipped motherboards for the older models, worth US$150,000.[clarification needed] Some time and a few bad decisions later, a staggering US$2 million, far more money than anybody anticipated, were spent for the CRTs, RAM, floppy disk drives, and to restore production of molded cases. It was then that the company folded due to debt.
Accelerated Processing Units with integrated graphics designed for MicroATX, laptops and mobile devices. The desktop versions, which are already on the market, don't appeal to power users but give those with lesser specs a leg up when coupled with whatever GPU is being used.
Hell, I'm starting to step away from the Radeon products due to this BS with BD...Get your Crap together AMD!!!
Only problem with that comparison is that AMD has already announced their replacement, they just won't announce an actual launch date. You have to wonder if that uncertainty is better or worse than the drop in sales caused by announcing a firm release date (assuming there is one, since announcing a product and announing a release date for an already announced product are two different things). Witness how many "what should I buy now" threads lead to responses like "wait and see what BD brings" - so they've already impacted sales - I just don't see how pinning a launch date is going to change that. Heck, announcing a date farther in the future may even help their sales - if you know BD isn't coming until Jan, there isn't much point waiting and you might go ahead and buy an X6 now.
You sir, should teach collegiate economics! The students will probably ace your class, as with most college students, sex is the only way to keep their attention...You are right. It is a fine balancing act. They have to announce new products or they aren't worth investing in. They then lessen the Osborne Effect by not publicly announcing the official release date, while providing status updates of product developments to their investors. You can never really get away from the Osborne Effect (especially in the current age of digital media), you can only lessen its impact. When a company is in a commanding lead in its particular market, there is even less overall impact leading up to a launch since they still have such a high desire for their products. But when a little dog in the same market does it, having even a miniscule month or two sales decline would be catastrophic.
Let me do a hypothetical...
Company A has 80% of market, has high demand for their products, and is sitting on plenty of cash reserves. They announce a new product, the SexontheBeach Blowjob Edition, that will be better than their previous product and will for sure come out in 6 months to the day. The sales of their current Lickadicks drop a statistically significant amount leading up to the release of the new product, but people still need Lickadicks and product still ships. Revenue for that time period drops a significant amount, but not enough to put the company in the red.
Company B has 20% of market, has high demand for their products, but has little to no cash reserves and/or paying off debt. They announce a new product, 8PornstarOrgy Charlie Sheen Edition, that could be as awesome as its namesake after 2 pounds of cocaine or crash just as hard. If they announce launch date now, their sales will drop on their current line of Thaihookers that are cheap and get the job done because customers suddenly know exactly when the possibly awesome 8PornstarOrgy will replace the mediocre Thaihookers. They also have second option of buying from Company A if the 8PornstarOrgy product doesn't pan out. Any statistical drop in sales could put them in the red since they are so close to it anyways and lead to domino effect of blue-balled investors taking their money elsewhere to get their happy endings. Best choice for Company B is to sell as many Thaihookers as possible to keep the company in black until they release the 8PornstarOrgy.
What some are not grasping is that there is always something on the horizon, there always has been.
But people continue to buy because they need something now. They aren't willing to wait indefinitely, but when indefinite becomes concrete, because there are benchmarks, prices, skus, etc. available, they wait.
I just bought a new bike. I needed this bike. I know that the 2012 models are coming up soon, they were all on display at interbike.But I busted my other one and I needed one now. If I knew that there were new models coming, and I could compare actual prices instead of just look at demo pics on websites, I might have found a way to wait a few more weeks. But because none of that stuff, while on the horizon, was REAL, Santa Cruz got my $2K. If I knew that there were new models coming I would have waited, but I could not wait for an indefinite amount of time.
The demand that companies are worried about is not from the entuhsiasts, but it is from all of the other people that say "hold on, if new stuff is coming out all of the prices will come down in a few weeks." If you knew that the $500 computer you are looking at might be $450 in two weeks, you would wait. If you think the $500 computer will be $450 sometime in the future, but don't know when, you bite the bullet. Having the computer for a few extra months is worth the $50. However it isn't worth $50 to get the computer 2 weeks early.
so you agree, this black hole of info isn't helping AMD's Bulldozer?
I can buy the solid choice, Intel Sandy Bridge now, and have a good chance of Ivy Bridge being a dropin upgrade down the line, if it doesn't pan out.
Or, I can wait on AMD's Bulldozer, which may or may not mean a thing at some unknown time in the future.
so you agree, this black hole of info isn't helping AMD's Bulldozer?
I can buy the solid choice, Intel Sandy Bridge now, and have a good chance of Ivy Bridge being a dropin upgrade down the line, if it doesn't pan out.
Or, I can wait on AMD's Bulldozer, which may or may not mean a thing at some unknown time in the future.
From my understanding, JF-AMD has long recommended that folks go with what they want. If you want a new processor, and can't wait, then get Intel.
Let me do a hypothetical...
Company A has 80% of market, has high demand for their products, and is sitting on plenty of cash reserves. They announce a new product, the SexontheBeach Blowjob Edition, that will be better than their previous product and will for sure come out in 6 months to the day. The sales of their current Lickadicks drop a statistically significant amount leading up to the release of the new product, but people still need Lickadicks and product still ships. Revenue for that time period drops a significant amount, but not enough to put the company in the red.
Company B has 20% of market, has high demand for their products, but has little to no cash reserves and/or paying off debt. They announce a new product, 8PornstarOrgy Charlie Sheen Edition, that could be as awesome as its namesake after 2 pounds of cocaine or crash just as hard. If they announce launch date now, their sales will drop on their current line of Thaihookers that are cheap and get the job done because customers suddenly know exactly when the possibly awesome 8PornstarOrgy will replace the mediocre Thaihookers. They also have second option of buying from Company A if the 8PornstarOrgy product doesn't pan out. Any statistical drop in sales could put them in the red since they are so close to it anyways and lead to domino effect of blue-balled investors taking their money elsewhere to get their happy endings. Best choice for Company B is to sell as many Thaihookers as possible to keep the company in black until they release the 8PornstarOrgy.
It was only 60-90 days ago that AMD announced that Bulldozer will be released in 60-90 days.
60-90 days ended in August. 60-90 days stament was published on June 1. 90 days from June 1 ended on 30th August.
Well, we can still compare Q2 sales to Q3 sales in about a month to see if announcing the 60-90 day planned obsolescence killed revenue.
I do not know if anyone can conclude that however. Remember that the $125 i3 2100 is kicking the crap out of most of the X4s and X6s in a lot of benchmarks and basically making all AMD > $100 desktop CPUs a bad value unless you already own a AM3 motherboard, will be doing video editing or want to overclock.
I do not know if anyone can conclude that however. Remember that the $125 i3 2100 is kicking the crap out of the X6s in a lot of benchmarks and basically making all AMD > $100 desktop CPUs a lesser value unless you already own a AM3 motherboard.
I think the problem is that when they made the announcement they were not sure if the B2 silicon would perform good enough to be competitive. And the question was would they have to have more revisions. Then after getting a revision that performed well, how would it yield? Besides the time needed for validation.
And everything that doesn't perform fast enough gets dumped into the server market ?
then I think using it as an excuse not to give an exact date is somewhat dubious.
Except, not really. Only benchmarks i3 beats x4s and x6s is where performance doesn't matter.
What happens if AMD does not even know the exact date? They probably do now however in June I would bet that they did not know when BD would be fixed.
You know, I've been saying the i3-2100 was better for a while too because I know it wins in gaming benchmarks. But I went to Anand's bench to refute your statement and Ill be damned if you're not right.
In almost all non-gaming benchmarks, the X6 beats it handily. Even the X4 win most but the i5-2500 just shreds anything named Phenom but it is $40 more. So shame on me for only looking at gaming benchmarks. For penance, I will sit thru 3 episodes of Desperate Houswives and let the wife have the remote.
Gaming is what huge majority of this forum does with their uber rigs.
For any non gaming related stuff I have 2 core intel CULV subnotebook
That's true but the i3 doesn't win by a whole lot and all those benchmarks are at medium resolutions with low settings. The reason I always pointed to the i3 was that its $40 cheaper and 4 less cores but edged out the Phenom so you would be better off buying an i3 and putting that $40 towards a faster GPU.
Higher resolutions and the graphics cards become the bottleneck, not the processors so you are correct sir. I would gather to say most want their processors for gaming on these forums so everything else is just, meh...whatever works. I would take a new core i3 processor w/hyperthreading over an AMD 4/6 core processor any day of the week, unless you need more cpu cores for graphics/multimedia work.
I currently game at 1080p with high details, and will soon be gaming at 3x 1080p eyefinity. The GPUs at that point are the clear bottleneck. With gaming being the only place the i3 beats the 6 core AMDs, I'd choose the 6 core AMD since I can OC it, its faster at everything else, and won't be any slower in my games. Also- a 6 core AMD isn't really any more expensive right now, so I'd get overall better performance since I won't notice a difference in gaming, but if I happen to do some encoding or something it would be faster. Explain to me the logic behind any scenario where an i3 would actually give me an improved experience.
I currently game at 1080p with high details, and will soon be gaming at 3x 1080p eyefinity. The GPUs at that point are the clear bottleneck. With gaming being the only place the i3 beats the 6 core AMDs, I'd choose the 6 core AMD since I can OC it, its faster at everything else, and won't be any slower in my games. Also- a 6 core AMD isn't really any more expensive right now, so I'd get overall better performance since I won't notice a difference in gaming, but if I happen to do some encoding or something it would be faster. Explain to me the logic behind any scenario where an i3 would actually give me an improved experience.
You forgotten to add your 6 core will burn 180W when overclocked compared to something like 60 on i3
Like I said games...did I say anything different? Also, how many people have a 3 way eyeinfinity setup that needs all that horse power????? You are trying to compare apples to oranges me thinks. Some of US don't need 6 cores to get the same performance YOU require when all we do is play games, use the web and office!
You forgotten to add your 6 core will burn 180W when overclocked compared to something like 60 on i3
Oh right- can't OC the i3. That takes so much of the fun out of building!